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Our goal is to cut through the complexity that goes into running a winning fantasy team. The most important part of this is to establish baselines for your team's performance, as well as your opponent's team.
We do this by fitting machine learning models of player performance using recent trends, historical averages, and player biographical data. We then run thousands of simulations of every game of the season, simulating things like injuries and playing time. This then provides us with rich data about the distribution of statistics that each player will generate each game.
Our projections form the basis for all of the other features we offer. Using the projections and combined with our lineup optimization, we can estimate the outcome probabilities for each matchup and provide you with a tactical advantage using this data.
Stat | Win Probability |
Projected Total |
Opponent Projected Total |
---|---|---|---|
Field Goal Percentage | 69% | 0.491 | 0.478 |
3-point Shots Made | 28% | 67 | 73 |
Points Scored | 0% | 666 | 815 |
Total Rebounds | 42% | 252 | 256 |
Assists | 2% | 133 | 166 |
Steals | 39% | 41 | 43 |
Turnovers | 95% | 73 | 96 |
Free Throw Percentage | 47% | 0.799 | 0.801 |
Blocked Shots | 6% | 28 | 39 |
Our approach to lineup optimization differs from other tools on the market. Instead of just "playing your best players" (as defined by some expert rank), we run thousands of simulations of player performance and optimize for the lineup that will give you the best chance of winning.
We also provide optional automation that will set your lineups for you at the start of each week using the recommendations. You can choose to override these recommendations if you want to make your own decisions, but having this baseline in place means you'll never bench your stars.
Jan. 16, 2023 | Jan. 17, 2023 | Jan. 18, 2023 | Jan. 19, 2023 | Jan. 20, 2023 | Jan. 21, 2023 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Fred VanVleet | Malcolm Brogdon | Fred VanVleet | |||
SG | Malcolm Brogdon | Desmond Bane | Desmond Bane | Malcolm Brogdon | ||
G | Malik Beasley | Fred VanVleet | Kevin Huerter | Fred VanVleet | Kevin Huerter | Kevin Huerter |
SF | Desmond Bane | Malik Beasley | Malik Beasley | |||
PF | Trey Murphy III | Jaden McDaniels | Trey Murphy III | |||
F | Jaden McDaniels | Keldon Johnson | Trey Murphy III | Jaden McDaniels | Keldon Johnson | Jaden McDaniels |
C | Daniel Gafford | Nikola Jokic | Daniel Gafford | Moritz Wagner | Moritz Wagner | |
C | Jarrett Allen | Jakob Poeltl | Nikola Jokic | Jakob Poeltl | Daniel Gafford | |
Util | Jarrett Allen | Nikola Jokic | Jarrett Allen | |||
Util | Jarrett Allen |
Add Player | Drop Player | FG% | FG3M | PTS | REB | AST | STL | TOV | FT% | BLK | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donte DiVincenzo | Kevin Huerter | -3% | +2% | -0% | +9% | +3% | +9% | -4% | +1% | -0% | +1.1 |
Larry Nance Jr. | Keldon Johnson | +11% | -11% | -3% | +3% | -2% | +5% | +3% | +2% | +6% | +1.06 |
Cody Martin | Moritz Wagner | -2% | +3% | -1% | +2% | +2% | +11% | +1% | -5% | +3% | +0.89 |
Donte DiVincenzo | Moritz Wagner | -3% | +6% | -1% | +2% | +4% | +10% | -2% | -1% | -1% | +0.88 |
Mark Williams | Moritz Wagner | +4% | -5% | -0% | +6% | -3% | -3% | +3% | -5% | +16% | +0.84 |
Add Player | Drop Player | FG% | FG3M | PTS | REB | AST | STL | TOV | FT% | BLK | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Williams | Malik Beasley | +2% | -7% | 0% | +9% | -1% | 0% | 0% | -4% | +24% | +0.22 |
Mark Williams | Desmond Bane | +2% | -10% | 0% | +5% | -2% | -4% | +4% | -4% | +24% | +0.15 |
Naz Reid | Malik Beasley | +3% | -5% | 0% | +10% | -1% | +1% | -3% | -7% | +15% | +0.12 |
Naz Reid | Desmond Bane | +4% | -7% | 0% | +9% | -2% | 0% | +2% | -8% | +13% | +0.10 |
Chris Boucher | Desmond Bane | +3% | -7% | 0% | +3% | -2% | +3% | +2% | -3% | +10% | +0.08 |
Lastly, our lineup and transaction engine is aware of injuries and will automatically take advantage of any IL spots to free up roster space. We'll shuffle players on and off, and our waiver recommendations will take advantage of the newly created roster space.
Similarly to our lineup recommendations, you can enable automatic injury management so your players get into the lineup as soon as they're healthy.Zion Williamson - Moved to IL. |
Chris Paul - Moved to IL. |
Collin Sexton - Moved to BN. |